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Thursday, November 20, 2008

Forex and the Risk Element

Time and time again I hear the statement that trading on a margin account is a risky business. In fact the NFA and CFTC require that all brokers and agents inform the public of the risks of trading on the foreign exchange.

So how much risk is actually involved in trading Forex? Is it any riskier than engaging in any other kind of business?

Let us first look at the hypothetical case of John and Mary. Each of them opened a forex trading account and funded it with $50,000. Both of them operated on a margin set at 100:1

John traded very conservatively using one regular lot per trade and applying reasonable money management principals. Unfortunately, John was a poor decision maker and did little to improve his trading skills. Over a period of time, John lost his entire investment.

Mary had no intention of being shackled by the constraints of money management and traded to the maximum of her account margin, each trade carrying the maximum lot size permitted. After a few spectacular gains, Mary's luck ran out and her account was wiped out. Despite being in profit to the tune of $2,500,000 she had lost it all and her original investment was gone too.

So who took the most risk?

If you answered Mary - you are wrong!

Mary is a multi-millionaire. She has several mansions two yachts and a private jet. Her main income is from oil and her company owns some of the largest oil reserves in the world. The possibility of losing $50,000 for Mary is a very small risk. It is similar for her to that of anyone purchasing a lottery ticket - nice if it gives you a few million dollars, but no big deal if it doesn't.

John on the other hand was in a very different situation. John had taken a mortgage on his house to fund his trading account. He had no savings and had even given up his job to start full time trading.

As you can see from the two tales above, risk is about more than what percentage of your account you put at risk.

In our next example, Mike and Sarah both open mini accounts with $5,000. Both are using a margin of 100:1. Neither Mike nor Sarah are independently wealthy but each can easily afford to lose their $5000 without it adversely affecting their lives.

Both start trading and due to lack of experience do not fare very well. After a short time Mike stops live trading and starts to practice in a demo account. Mike seeks help and knowledge and then practices in his demo account to hone those new found skills.

When Mike starts to trade his live account again he uses very strict money management and a well developed trading system. Mike has not yet made a fortune, but he is starting to recover some of the investment that he lost.

Sarah continued to trade without any help. She is still managing to stay afloat.

So who was at the most risk in this example? I would suggest that it was Sarah. Her luck is still holding but if your trading style is built upon luck. You are at great risk.

Trading the forex market requires that you develop a style of risk management. It is necessary to understand the true risk of each trade as it applies to both the market in general and to you in particular.

If you always trade with money that you can afford to lose, your total risk is reduced. If you learn how to trade effectively, then your risk is further reduced and likewise if you adopt a strict regime of money management your risk is again reduced.

Trading will always carry a level of risk. If you intend to adopt trading as a career or investment vehicle, it is up to you to do everything in your power to learn how to properly assess and manage the risk.

Monday, November 17, 2008

Picking Up Forex Signal

There is lots and lots of Data forex and forex signal trading on the internet. You need to be extremely cautious and careful when finding the right forex signal to follow. Basically a forex signal is a way some people use to invest there money. A Forex signal is also fore people to follow who usually do not have time to research on how to invest on a daily basis. You need to be careful though, most people will completely ignore any forex trading signals because they have been scammed to many times.

Do you know the best way to prevent being scammed? EDUACTION! The word you can’t get enough of. If you educate yourself your will run less risk of being scammed than anyone out there. Remember the forex market is the largest market in the world which consists of over 2 trillion dollars traded on a daily basis! 2 TRILLION! That 2 trillion is mainly made up of multi-national corporations and large financial institutions. Single investors are starting to make an impact in this market today.

So what exactly are online trading signals? These are services offered buy a lot of companies out there today. You can either buy or sell these signals. If you want this type of service you may find yourself spending thousands and thousands of dollars a month and it may not even be worth it. What you need to do is learn forex the right way. Start out with forex training sites that let you train with “play money” to get a feel for this market. You can create an account for free and trade as much as you would like with play money to get a feel for what it would be like with real money. This is seriously the best tool out there that you need to take advantage of right away.

The more experience you gain on a daily basis, the more knowledge and know how you will have to perform well in today’s highly liquefiable forex trading market. The trouble with people today is they like to jump into this market or spend thousands of dollars a month on some “so called” expert currency trader, which in fact is no better than you! You need to seriously stop throwing your money away and start learning the forex currency trading on your own. All you need is a great forex currency ebook and a never give up attitude willing to take risks. You do not need to break your pockets either. You can start out in the forex trading market for as little as $25.00! 25 dollars has the potential to start earning you thousands and thousands of dollars a day. For a nice meal, you have the potential to grow into a multi-millionaire. Sounds too good to be true? It is not at all! You need to nose dive head first into this untapped and unregulated market. There is no limit on the amount of earning potential you can earn in this market. The sky is the limit!

Friday, November 14, 2008

It Really Pays to Learn FOREX

The fact that foreign exchange trading can be very profitable makes it exciting, but there is one important aspect that shouldn’t be overlooked. The risk factors in FOREX trading are significant. A good FOREX trader must fully understand margin trading and the implications that it has, as well as the particular opportunities and pitfalls offered by foreign exchange trading.

There are many reasons why the foreign exchange market is so popular and why some many traders want to learn FOREX. Some of the most important reasons include the high liquidity, the 24-hour availability, the very low dealing costs, and the leverage available.

Participants in the foreign exchange trading include many commercial organizations, but their presence on the market is related to currency exposure due to export and import activities. However, it is the financial institutions that are responsible for most of the turnover on the FOREX market. Banks, funds, brokers – these are the major players on the market, and investing in FOREX is still predominantly their domain. Still, any investor can make the most of these advantages, provided that he/she has solid knowledge of the functions of FOREX market.

Due to the advancement of technology, a FOREX trading account can be opened, and individuals can start trading, without becoming involved with a trading institution or a bank. But the question is, are you ready for FOREX trading?

It is highly recommended that you learn FOREX before you actually start trading. As stated before, this market offers some opportunities that allow the prospect of huge profits. But the losses can be just as big as the profits, and no one wants to learn FOREX by trading their own money. Fortunately, there’s no need for any of your money to be lost before you can crack the code and really master the FOREX market functions. Thanks to the same technology, you can chose a FOREX trading course and learn everything you need to know about this way of making money, a lot of money.

There are excellent websites offering powerful FOREX trading courses that provide you with all the necessary information, including tips and secrets of foreign exchange trading that you can use to your advantage. Think about it, if you start to trade on the FOREX market without having learned FOREX, you might as well throw your money out the window. However, if you learn FOREX before you start investing, chances are you will do very well. But learning the basics will only get you among the other traders for whom stress is a constant feature. You need to choose a good FOREX trading course that will put you on top of the other traders, and give you the ability to make serious profit. And the good news is that such a course really exists!

Trading on the FOREX market does not come with any restrictions of time and place. You can live in any corner of the world you please, or you can travel anywhere you like, as long as you have access to a computer and an Internet connection. And it gets even better. You don’t have to start with a huge sum of money, a small amount will do, and soon you’ll be making so much money, that you’ll feel sorry you haven’t considered trading foreign exchange sooner. The only condition to being really successful is that you learn FOREX from people who have had and still have their share of the market.

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Forex Trading Journal

If you are serious about trading successfully, you need to be keeping a forex trading journal. I remember a long time ago when I first got started trading, I was just doing so so until the day when I decided to start keeping a trade journal.

Your trading will see drastic improvements pretty quickly when you start keeping a journal because keeping a trade journal sends signals to your entire being saying that you are serious with whatever you're doing.

So if you're with me so far and want to start your own trade journal, read on and let me give you a guide as to what should be in your trade journal.

#1 - Record Date and Time of Trade

This will help you refer back to the charts and see when you entered and exited the trade

#2 - Record Currency Pair and Direction

Record which pair you were trading at that time ... be it GBPUSD or EURUSD or whatever. Also record if it is a long or short trade. E.g LONG EURUSD

#3 - Record Your Trade Entry Price

This is a no brainer ... I personally use Excel for this.

#4 - Record Your Exit Price For Your Trade

The difference between your exit and entry price will determine whether your trade is a profitable or loss trade.

#5 - Record Your Trade Size

In other words, how many lots did you take on that particular trade? If you're trading in mini-lots, record that as well.

#6 - Record Your Nett Pips

Record in numbers ... That way you can see your trading performance at a glance. E.g -22 pips or +34 pips

#7 - Record Your Nett P&L

Make a record of how much you made or lost with that particular trade in terms of dollars and cents. By doing so, you can see which are your biggest losers.

#8 - Record If You Were Trading Countertrend or With The Trend (Optional)

I'm personally very detailed and so I record this sort of details as well.

#9 - Trading Session

If you like you can also record the session you were trading in such as european open or asian close.

#10 - Screenshots (Optional)

Sometimes it will really help when you take screenshots of what you saw at that time you entered the trade.

#11 - Additional Remarks

This column or detail is good for recording how you felt about the trade (before and after it)

You can use your favorite document editors such as excel or word for logging your trades. Ok, this pretty much wraps it all up. Reading all these doesn't help you as much as actually doing it so if you've not been keeping a trading journal, why not do so right now?

Happy trading and happy journaling!

Thursday, November 6, 2008

Forex Pivot Points

Forex pivot points are a valuable tool which needs to be used with any time of forex trading. If you are new to forex trading and are just starting out, you must understand that this is a risky but highly profitable business. When you are starting out in forex trading you must understand that a lot of work goes into being very profitable in this business. The great thing is though; you do not need much capital investment when starting out. $300.00 or less can get you a long way in this investing wheel.

Before you jump into forex trading you must understand the basics and without a doubt you must understand that this is way different than trading stock. You must study the global and local markets as a whole and any trends will affect any of these markets. Forex trading is a highly liquefiable market in which you can exchange currency 24 hours a day.

Without the proper training in the forex industry you must be prepared to fail. You need to devote a lot of time to learning the forex system in its entirety. The worst thing you could do is jump right into forex trading not knowing a thing, and risk losing thousands and thousands of dollars. You can go into online forex situations which present you with real life trading events and you can make real life decisions, but all it will cost you is play money. You can see how much you would have gained or lost depending on the market. This is a great training mechanism and will gain great experience in order for you to truly understand forex trading.

I recommend you use a forex platform trading mechanism that will net you great money and great results. Even some predict forex software can help you score millions. There is some high tech software out there that can even teach your what the currency exchange iraq can be. It doesn’t matter what currency you are actually trading for, as long as it is profitable. Knowing when to invest and how to invest your foreign currency will be your one way ticket to success. The forex market is a wide open, highly profitable market. Check out the free forex forum and chat room next time you are snooping around on the internet for as much free forex information as you can. You can even go to a forex seminar to increase your chances and raise your profitability of making money for as low as 100 bucks.

The greatest way to learn forex trading is through forex ebooks offered through many established sellers. Learning as much on hands information with a guide to follow will be your best way to earn lots and lots of income. There is tons and tons of forex software out there, you just need to be careful what you buy. I highly recommend you stay away from such software and focus yourself more towards hands on learning and forex ebooks. As always, I wish you the best of luck in your trading!

Monday, November 3, 2008

Trade Currency for Profits

Foreign exchange trading, also known as Forex trading, has become more and more popular with investors and traders these days. With the ongoing recession in the capital markets, a lot of folks believe buying and selling of currencies is a safe investment. Whenever you look at the mechanics of a currency spot trade, the chance of making money is somewhere around 50%. With each currency spot transaction, someone loses money while the other individual makes some. Despite this, not everyone is profitable from trading currencies. As a matter of fact, it is estimated that almost 80% of all currency traders lose money in their attempts.

Using these statistics, one can easily assume that the 20% of profitable traders either have access to some kind of insider info or a mysterious way to manipulate the market. But even the United States, British, and Japanese governments have systematically failed in their previous attempts to manipulate the world's currency markets; which squelches that possibility all together.

The fact is, profitable currency traders are simply better at using accessible info than their unprofitable counterparts are. Profitable traders know how to choose the most applicable information from the enormous heap of economical data that's released by governments and institutions on a day by day basis. They understand how to head off information overload and zoom in on exclusively the most important facts and numbers that are most probable to have an effect on the currency market. With that in mind, these are the five major national economic reports that each successful trader looks at:

Unemployment Reports. Unexpected surprises in unemployment figures generally have a big impact on the Forex market. If, for example, the anticipated unemployment rate is 6% for a specific country, but the report shows an actual rate of 4%, then this can cause a strengthening of the national currency.

Interest Rates. Interest rates are directly related to the strength of a specific currency. When interest rates move up, it draws in foreign investors and will lead to a stronger currency. The opposite takes place when interest rates go downward.

Consumer Price Index. The CPI is a monthly report that measures the costs of goods in a country and compares this to salaries. An abrupt hike up in inflation is always damaging to the strength of a currency and so it's vital to maintain a close eye on this economic indicator.

Trade Balance. The trade balance measures how much a country exports and how much it imports. A trade deficit means that exports surpass imports and a country is sending out more money than it is taking in. This has a very noticeable impact on the demand for a countries currency. But one must remember that a trade deficit isn't always a bad thing. One must take into account the specific conditions of a country to see why a trade surplus or deficit exists.

Retail Sales. A monthly report of retail sales is possibly the most effective indicator of the average person's thoughts about his nations economy. Sentiment plays a highly critical role in spending patterns, which, in turn, affects the strength of a nations currency.

For currency traders who may plan on being intermediate or permanent players, successful Forex trading means that you need to gain some basic knowledge about worldwide economics and trade. Trading currencies without an awareness of the economic circumstances that bear upon a particular currency market will ultimately lead to losing money. To earn money with Forex trading over the long-run, you also need to learn how to adhere to stable trends and indicators and place your orders accordingly. That is the surest, if not the only way, of trading currency for profits.